Dinar Observer Daily

Dinar Investor – Jeff  …there’s two things they got to do for the rate change. – 7 ministers of the cabinet. – Complete that agreement with Kurdistan and sign off on it.  They’re most likely to complete those the same week.  The reason why they didn’t do it today, it’s real simple.  It’s because they have a rate change date already set and scheduled.  It’s done…the last remaining items they’re theoretically the linchpin for the rate change.  What they’re going to do is finish these items in closer proximity to the timing of the rate change…when you see these items they are confirmation that the rate change is about to happen…you’re right on the edge of the rate change.  This rate change is not going into July.  It’s happening in the second half of June.  The date is right in front of your eyes. 

Adam Montana – Dinar Guru   …After a series of unsuccessful attempts at appointing a Prime Minister, Kazemi (RV Kazammy!!!) is approaching only two short months in office, but he’s seriously kicking butt!  We don’t have an HCL agreement (yet), so we don’t have an RV. But we are getting close. Kazammi is possibly the first political figure in a position to have a real chance at getting the HCL to pass. One of the reasons is stated on Wikipedia fairly well:  Quote:  “Al-Kadhimi was a vocal opponent to the dictatorship of the Saddam Hussein regime.[3] He left Iraq in 1985 to Iran then Germany and settled in United Kingdom and lived in exile for several years, yet is not affiliated with any of the Iraqi political parties.”  The HCL is a VERY polarized topic. In order for it to come together, a couple of opposing parties have to agree on it… and a neutral party as mediator is the best way to go.  That’s our guy Kazzami!

Breitling – Dinar Guru   …Iraq is so on the edge of adding value to their currency.  I’m waiting for more information coming in.

Delta – Dinar Guru  …this is what the media is telling everybody in Iraq right now…they’re about to come out with a new exchange rates…they’re going to implement the financial reforms and currency reforms and they’re going to change the exchange rate of the IQD…it doesn’t get more crystal clear than this…

MilitiaMan – Dinar Guru   Article: “The government is preparing to issue a new reform package mid this week”   Wednesday there is to be meetings on the Laws needed for many things that include Laws for Monetary Reforms. I suspect that since they have been talking about the 2019 FMLA and the secondary markets it will be a day to watch close. …the reforms need the international rate to be applied to the currency to facilitate the ability for the IQD and the ISX to interlink internationally...

Delta – Dinar Guru  …everybody knows I watch…the Iraqi channel.  I speak the language.  That’s old news for you…there was this information coming up from Iraq channels and the Central Bank of Iraq they’re coming out with new rates and the new rate is going to be…managed, not float.  Then last night one of the financial committee of the parliament…he had an hour and half interview with one of the major Iraqi channels…it is just amazing…he mentions…that they’re going to change the exchange rate.  I know some of you might ask, ‘Did they say that on live TV?’  Of course they said that.  There’s no secret anymore that they need to change that…this is unbelievable!...I’m not exaggerating.  No.

MilitiaMan – Dinar Guru  Article:  “Political movement to choose a foreign minister before the strategic dialogue with Washington”   Quote:  “Prime Minister Mustafa Al-Kazemi wants to complete the vacant ministries as soon as possible, indicating that the delay is due to deep differences between the political blocs”   There you go… The pressure is on and and big time. The 10th is not far off. imo They need time for the minister to see the files that they will discuss at the SFA meeting… More good stuff for us… imo…

Mountain Goat – Dinar Guru   I am still hearing from the CBI that they fully intend to complete the project to delete the zeros and do it much sooner than later. But I have no official article or announcements yet from the CBI in this regard. I was told we should see some announcement soon of the progress and what they intend to do next. We still wait for this from the CBI. It is supposed to come out this week.

Pimpy – Dinar Guru  …There’s a lot of things happening in Iraq that I can’t help to think to myself I’m not sure how they’re gonna do these things or how any of these are gonna be possible without having a currency that’s not recognized internationally.  I just don’t know how some of these agreements that they’re getting into are going to be able to be fulfilled without having their currency rate changed or at least recognized internationally.  There is some type of conference that’s coming up in July where they open up to the rest of the world to come on in and think about investing into Iraq.  There is going to be a plethora of nations invited and I have a feeling you’re gonna see a lot of them come.   Having said that it’s gonna be really hard for this to be accomplished if they don’t have a currency that’s recognizable internationally…

Kaperoni – Dinar Guru   As for the dinar’s value, it is not at a program rate.  That is guru’s taking a directive from the IMF and misrepresenting that meaning.  The dinar exchange rate is it’s real rate… The currency is already an internationally-recognized currency they just haven’t accepted IMF Article VIII making international banks more willing to want to engage in commerce with it.

MilitiaMan – Dinar Guru    Article:  “The government is preparing to issue a new reform package mid this week”  Wednesday there is to be meetings on the Laws needed for many things that include Laws for Monetary Reforms. I suspect that since they have been talking about the 2019 FMLA and the secondary markets it will be a day to watch close. …the reforms need the international rate to be applied to the currency to facilitate the ability for the IQD and the ISX to interlink internationally…

Mountain Goat – Dinar Guru    Article:  “THE NATIONAL:  SENIOR IRAQI OFFICIAL LAYS OUT JUST HOW BAD IS COUNTRY’S FINANCES”    So again we hear news about the necessity for Iraq to bring in investors and move to a private sector economy, taking pressure off the GOI to pay out these salaries each month. Why not let the private sector pay these salaries? But this will not come unless the investors flock in and this will not happen until they know that Iraq has a stable, global currency that can be easily exchangeable to their own currency of their country. When will Iraq reform their currency and get out of this program rate and 3 zero notes? They have gotten so used to surviving off the US dollar now it is hard to move from it.

MilitiaMan – Dinar Guru  Article:  “Al-Nusairi: Iraqi-Gulf economic ties are a step in the right direction for Iraq to return to its Arab depth”   They have been vocal in recent past per [Guru] Delta (iho) that they have opened the ITB in SA yet, as they are like every one else, the need an international rate to deal with… Looks like the game is at the 2 minute warning now…  imo… They are talking about internal and external banking that interlink with each other… They know what to expect by now… imo… Oh ya! It is not a program rate. They are talking on TV a rate change is coming. Alak told us and have others the right thing to do is not devalue the currency but to give value to it…imo! That is exactly what they are going to do…imo.

MilitiaMan – Dinar Guru  Article:  “Newspaper: Iraqi-American negotiations will start on June 10”  I have a strong feeling they will need to have things sorted MR [Monetary Reform ?] wise prior to the meeting beginning on the 10th. They have a minster they need to place too, prior to that. It looks as that may be slated for Wednesday too. imo The convergence of many things of late is by no coincidence. …ECONOMIC is to be a main focus in the future, imo…

MilitiaMan – Dinar Guru   Article:  “The Stock Exchange announces postponing its sessions until next week”   Fascinating they kicked the can down the road again… Allows for any necessary adjustments that may come their way? lol Yep, imo… With the CBIESD site still showing a massive change to the ISX Indice the chances of them coming back again at a program rate seem to be a no way situation, imo.. From today through June 4th. That is Thursday… Man things look good for us. If they need to notify people, from now through next Saturday could be a very interesting time to do so… If need be… imo

Dinar Investor – Jeff  …this is my opinion.  Nothing more.  I’m strongly looking to the second half of June for a financial blessing and for Iraq to go international…

MilitiaMan – Dinar Guru  Article:  “A Kurdish deputy calls on the Minister of Finance to take steps to stop manipulating Iraqi imports from Zakho to Basra”   another gem talking about implementing radical financial reforms… Radical as in the removal of three zeros and apply REER (Real Effective Exchange Rate)? That would work for me..

Mountain Goat – Dinar Guru   …Today’s news continues with the saga of Iraq and its inability to meet the June salaries… So far we see the solution for May and June’s salaries was the borrowing from within the banks of Iraq. But this is only a temporary measure…I am hoping this is a wake-up call for Iraq to now move forward with its reforms in all aspects of non-oil-based revenue generation and allowing foreign investors to comfortably come into Iraq to establish businesses. There has to be some drastic changes and the new prime minister Al-Kazemi must be the one to make them…It may seem gloomy and doomy at times but I see the plan playing out and taking shape…

MilitiaMan – Dinar Guru   Article:  “What does it mean to reduce the Iraqi dinar price against the dollar? .. An economist answers”   Gotta love the education they are doing. The explanation of the choices both good and bad..They will make the right choice and they have been telling us about it… the amount of countries coming into Iraq now shows that the doors are about to fully open and they are gearing for…to have the CBI share with the world and the Iraqi’s, as to what they can expect when the exchange rate changes.  I suspect those that have a need to know will have been all ears by now… So I am surely liking what I have been told would come is coming…

Mountain Goat – Dinar Guru   “IRAQ STOCK EXCHANGE ANNOUNCED, ON SUNDAY, THAT ITS FIRST SESSION WILL BE ON SUNDAY, MAY 31“  Does this article say anything about being traded on NASDAC?- NO! Does the ISX need an increase in a rate? – NO!  Does the reinstatement have to take place first– NO! These are all just…rumors…It does not say anything other than a change in their trading schedule…

Kaperoni – Dinar Guru   Once again, if the dinar is ever going to appreciate it will as a result of success of the economy.  Iraq needs stability, laws, and to open the private sector.  Only then will the CBI float the dinar.

Adam Montana – Dinar Guru  The fact that Oil is returning to normal and sustainable price levels…well, that’s just gravy.    One other component I think we need to keep on the radar is still the HCL. While we are seeing a lot of positive news on many other fronts, the HCL seems… suspiciously quiet.  …The HCL (Hydro Carbon Law) is extremely important. It covers a few things, perhaps most importantly is the money-sharing arrangement that it provides… Oil, the Transportation of Oil, the price of Oil, the intrinsic connection between Oil and Iraq’s economy… this is a short list of why the HCL is important. [post 1 of 2]

Adam Montana – Dinar Guru  The recent Iran-Turkey pipeline incident, courtesy of the PKK (Kurds), is certainly going to have an affect… particularly since Turkey seems to not want anything to do with fixing it. This incident hurts Iran more than anyone, benefits Iraq, and Turkey comes out better as well – both politically, financially, and in terms of future positioning…That also comes back full circle to the HCL…eliminating Iran from the equation is a benefit to Iraq, and the HCL will be used to ensure that the Kurds get a larger portion of these benefits.  Once again, when you look at the big picture it starts to make sense “why” the RV didn’t happen yet. The dominoes have been being placed, one at a time, and the HCL just might be the force that starts them moving…things are about to start happening REALLY FAST.  [post 2 of 2]

Mountain Goat – Dinar Guru   Article:  “THE HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES AND BY AN ABSOLUTE MAJORITY TO GIVE CONFIDENCE TO THE PRIME MINISTER AND MEMBERS OF THE MINISTERS AND THEIR SWEARING-IN”  the three most important are now filled and not by proxy anymore…the Ministry of Defense…Minister of Interior…Minister of Finance…Let’s get to work!!!

Adam Montana – Dinar Guru    Lots of talk lately about the new PM (KaZAMi-Kablammie-Kademi-KaJustRValready!), exchange rate talk, the US pulling out of Iraqi bases, and of course – “more”.  There was a time when there wasn’t much “more”, but lately things are picking up steam – Parliament blazing through tasks, the newly appointed PM seems to almost have entered the scene un-noticed…the fact that Kazammie is still in office, with no reports of (major) riots or protests, is an indicator that he could be “the one”.    [post 1 of 2]

Adam Montana – Dinar Guru   A key part of the “more” is the Iraqi Budget, which is looming on the horizon. The Budget is a big deal, but do NOT expect to see an RV rate in it – in fact, I place very little importance on the Budget numbers. What IS important and relevant is a successful conclusion and announcement of the Budget. That can only happen when the bobbleheads in Parliament actually meet, pull out their pens, and sign the agreement.   When that happens, it shows that Iraq is doing something positive, moving forward, and clearing the table for bigger items.      [post 2 of 2]

Mountain Goat – Dinar Guru    I quote- “It is not in the interest of the financial system to raise the exchange rate of the dollar because it will lead to a decrease in the Iraqi dinar price and a decrease in purchasing power and will lead to inflation,” noting that “the classes with limited income and those with salaries will be the first affected by this decision”. This was taken right out of an article by   Parliamentary Finance Committee member, Ahmed Al-Saffar, on Wednesday (May 20, 2020). I would trust and respect his comments much more than the corrupt parliament member comments (and others)  that are coming out that say just the opposite. So relax. This financial crisis could lead to Iraq raising the value of the dinar in the long run.

Dinar Investor – Jeff  …There’s really only 3 things in the news right now.  The first would be Kurdistan and Baghdad to resolve their differences.  The 2nd one would be the completing of the government – the last 7 remaining ministers and then the 3rd one is all the economic articles.  That’s it…so what they’re telling you here is the two items – Kurdistan trying to resolve their differences with Baghdad and the 2nd one completing the formation of government…they’re telling you what their delay is before they can launch their economy.  It doesn’t get any more cut and dry and simplified than that.  They’re telling you what the delay is.  They’re saying, ‘hey Kurdistan has to reach an agreement with Baghdad and Baghdad has to get the last 7 ministers in there.‘  They’re telling you what the delays are before they can launch the economy.  That’s why now they’re talking about the economy around those items.  That simple.  That’s what you’re waiting on…

Mountain Goat – Dinar Guru   So, we see in today’s news yet more arguments about whether to float the dinar or not. Floating the dinar is bad, but ONLY if floating is kept on the program rate and not reinstated for global trading. This is coming from the CBI not me, just so you know. So we see lots of arguments for pro and con on this subject matter but remember again they are talking about program rate only with the confines of the CBI and not on FOREX which is  international.  …Will they reinstate international and then float the currency like they need to do? …We know this has been the plan all along to float the IQD on FOREX. The IMF has already told us of the future plan to reinstate and put the IQD in a “basket of currencies”.   [post 1 of 2]

Mountain Goat – Dinar Guru   …We know for a FACT that if they had already accomplished this event back in 2013 or sooner…they might not be this financial mess they are in…reinstating their currency on FOREX is the cure all for Iraq’s economic problems…But having reinstated the IQD with a sound monetary policy would have helped to avoid these problems that they are now facing…They seem to be slowly leaning towards this decision… and  I believe that they have already come to the conclusion they must revalue and reinstate the currency and do it prior to the July salaries coming due…We have a really good opportunity to see the reinstatement sometime in June of this year not Jan 2021…What is left now is to wait for something from the CBI and I will be totally convinced they are moving ahead and actually plan to do it this time…      [post 2 of 2]