Dinar Observer Daily

Mountain Goat – Dinar Guru  Hang on to your seats because the next couple weeks are going to be explosive, but right now we are in waiting mode until these Iranian issues are resolved…The Iraqi speaker of parliament has put all sessions on hold…until these issues are settled…my CBI contact… assures me that unless the Iranian influence in Iraq is addressed, along with tensions from Tehran, there will not be a reinstatement. The US will not sign off and will hold it up…Many of us may look at what is happening in Iraq as gloom and doom with this Iranian issues…Let’s keep looking at the glass as half full and not empty….things in Iraq are known to change suddenly and pivot…

Jeff – Dinar Guru   The formation of the government is the lynch pin to Iraq revaluing and getting back on the international world stage… Phase 1:  Resolve president and government formation.  Phase 2: The rate change. Phase 3:  Accelerate legislative and economic reform execution, deeper trade and financial integration.

Samson – Dinar Guru   Article:  “OIL PRICES SURGE DURING THE WEEK … BRENT CRUDE BREAKS THROUGH THE $71 BARRIER [Barrel? Likely translation glitch]“

Militia Man – Dinar Guru   Iraq’s oil revenues that were deposited with the United States Federal Reserve in New York has resurfaced.  A lot of people have been talking about it…Is it important?  Sure, it is.  But…It’s protection…It’s a good thing.  It’s not a bad thing…This issue dates back to 2003 when the Development Fund for Iraq (DFI) was established… to protect the money from lawsuits related to a period before the fall of the previous regime… The remaining debts approximately $40 billion owed to 46 countries… Legal constraints could expose these assets to seizure if they were to fall outside the preview of Unites States law…The DFI protections provide security and stability.  None of that has changed.

Sandy Ingram – Dinar Guru   We have a major subject to discuss today…Why the US still controls Iraq’s dollar pipeline…Understanding this system is essential for anyone watching the Iraqi dinar…Iraq’s oil is priced in US dollars…When buyers pay for Iraqi crude, these dollars…are deposited into an account belonging to the Central Bank of Iraq held at the Federal Reserve Bank of New York…Iraq can request access to its dollars but it cannot move them freely without meeting US regulatory standards…The United States can slow, block or restrict access…We’re talking about over $100 billion.  Iraq is a little bit wealthy!  Because of this dependency…Iraq’s sovereignty is only partial…Iran keeps whispering in Iraq’s ears that they’re not free…Part of making sure that nobody tried to sue, blackmail, strong-arm them the US put the money in the US Federal Reserve…

Pimpy – Dinar Guru  If I’m looking at percentage wise about who’s going to be the PM, I’m looking at something like 15% chance Sudani will be the PM.  85% change Maliki is going to be it.  I said this before, just because Trump doesn’t like Maliki and he’s making all kinds of threats to Iraq over Maliki become the prime minister doesn’t mean Trump won’t negotiate and work with Maliki.  He’s done it before with people he doesn’t agree with… adversaries…so-called enemies…So as big of a snake as Maliki is, as much as Trump don’t give a shit who you are as long as you’re willing to work with him, I’m saying there’s always a possibility you’ll see Maliki there as prime minister for a 3rd damn term.

Jeff – Dinar Guru  You’ve got to retrace your steps in this.  What brought the value of the dinar down in 2003?  It’s called US sanctions.  Right now the only remaining sanctions on Iraq are the US Treasury OFAC sanctions.  So, if sanctions automatically brought the value of the the dinar down, what happens when you take sanctions off?  …Wouldn’t that suggest it maybe reinstates, putting it back in the $3+ range?  …You take the US OFAC sanctions off, it puts it back to $3.22…

Militia Man – Dinar Guru   There’s no hype…They’ve been really quiet about [the monetary reform items] but we know all about them because we’ve been studying all of these things.  Reforms advance steadily and I believe the results are emerging quietly.  Remember what Alaq said when they did exchange rate [change], he said it was effective immediately and that’s what I would expect to happen again.  No fanfare, no hype, just bottom line.  We’re just going to see it happen.  I think that’s by design.

Clare – Dinar Guru  Article quote:  “The Supreme Religious Authority in Najaf announced this Wednesday evening that the crescent moon of Ramadan has been sighted, and therefore tomorrow, Thursday, will be the first day of the month of fasting.”

Jeff – Dinar Guru   Community Comment:  “They’re not going to do anything important during Ramadan.”  The country of Kuwait did perform their currency reinstatement during the religious celebratory period of Ramadan in 1991.  Kuwait did their currency revaluation on March 24th during their Ramadan period which started on March 17, 1991…So your statement is completely incorrect…When people are incorrect, we will take the time to help you get correct.  That’s what this is about.

Mountain Goat – Dinar Guru   We know for a FACT that if this election had gone smoothly we would have been at the bank by now and this reinstatement completed.  But…how can the CBI justify the reinstatement and the swap out of the notes in times like this instability not knowing the future even of the direction of the country. And we all know that if Maliki should be the next prime minister, Iraq would take a drastic direction down the toilet…  [Post 1 of 2….stay tuned]

Mountain Goat – Dinar Guru    Some good news…Article: “THREE BLOWS TO MALIKI IN ONE NIGHT… HIS CLOSEST ALLY SIGNALS A RETREAT”  It appears that the bloc supporting Maliki is shrinking day by day. We read that the Framework has already begun discussing the alternative to Maliki. It appears that more and more resistance factions are gradually distancing themselves from supporting Maliki and moving to the opposing side…  [Post 2 of 2]

Pimpy – Dinar Guru  People are asking me how come you’re not doing a lot of [talking] on Iraq?  I said, what is there to talk about?  They’re too busy trying to establish a government.  They still haven’t done that.  You think what’s on their mind is the Iraqi exchange rate?  No.  They’re trying to decide who is going to be the prime minister.  They’re trying to decide who’s going to be the president.  All of that kind of stuff has to be worked out first before anything else.  Yes, I’m keeping an eye on what’s going on over there in Iraq, but…until they get their shit together and establish a government, you’re not going to get a whole lot of too much…

Clare – Dinar Guru   Article:  “Exclusive – US State Department:  Nominating Maliki will force us to reassess our relationship with Iraq”  Quote:  “The US State Department confirmed on Wednesday that the United States’ position remains “firm and unwavering” regarding the nomination of State of Law Coalition leader Nouri al-Maliki for the Iraqi premiership, hinting at harsh  diplomatic measures if this option is pursued.“

Militia Man – Dinar Guru  They need to have stable pricing.  What’s that going to be?  That’s going to be a real effective exchange rate with a commercial digital dinar that needs to be supported with real fundamentals.  

Mountain Goat – Dinar Guru   Article:  “MP: GOVERNMENT AGREEMENT TO RAISE THE DOLLAR EXCHANGE RATE TO 180,000  DINARS”  Such a high rate (a massive devaluation) is contrary to the work of the CBI.  It would favor the dollar and the money exchangers selling dollars, something the CBI needs to break…to even suggest it tells a story in itself where the Iranian backed Coordination Framework is coming from as far as leading the way to the destruction of Iraq.  We know that al-Sudani will not go along with a devaluation and leaves these matters to the CBI.  

Jeff – Dinar Guru  Right now Iraq is…going 50 directions at the same time.  It’s a very difficult  investment…Nobody right now can gauge this investment accurately.  I don’t care who it is.  I don’t care how sharp of a thinker  they are…The news…can be perceived as very misleading and confusing right now. 

Militia Man – Dinar Guru  Clear evidence of WTO readiness.  The files are complete, negotiations are active still...I  think the timing is impeccable…Iraq now has the foundational requirements covered.  The successes today are real and the next  logical step as, I see it, is exposure to a managed real effective exchange rate that reflects those successes.

Clare – Dinar Guru  Article: “Standard & Poor’s praises the stability of Iraq’s economic indicators” Quote “Standard  & Poor’s (S&P) credit rating agency released its February 2026 report, affirming Iraq’s rating at B-/B with a stable outlook. The  agency stated in its latest assessment that the Iraqi economy is steadily progressing towards greater fiscal sustainability despite  regional challenges.”

Samson – Dinar Guru  Article:  “STANDARD & POOR’S PRAISES THE STABILITY OF IRAQ’S ECONOMIC INDICATORS“

Kaperoni – Dinar Guru  Article: “Standard & Poor’s praises the stability of Iraq’s economic indicators“

Jeff – Dinar Guru   The Trump administration made it very clear they will not allow an Iranian influence in the country of Iraq.  But because bankers drafted the rate change and scheduling dates…they want to keep us in the dark about the timing and completion of the formation of the government so we don’t know perspectively when the rate is going to change.  Those are two different scenarios.  We’ve got to see how that plays out…We’re all in the dark in this together.

Militia Man – Dinar Guru    Iraq’s central bank is independent.   We’re not waiting for WTO ascension.  They can do what they need to.  Alaq and the gatekeepers can have a move in Iraq dinar anytime they choose is prudent…

Mountain Goat – Dinar Guru  We see in articles…that the US, under President Trump is not going to backdown, compromise or negotiate and thus allow any outside nation, most importantly Iran, to influence Iraqi politics…if President Trump is going to work with Iraq to mold it into the financial and economic powerhouse, he must have a government in place that he can  work with and will not betray his foreign policy…  [Post 1 of 2….stay tuned]

Mountain Goat -Dinar Guru   Nori al-Maliki…time and time again…has not lived up to agreements and promises made to the US.   Instead, he has chosen to work with dark elements behind the scenes of US foreign policy and Iranian influence…we have read many articles already on the Trump dream to “Make Iraq Great Again”…As investors, if we have any chance of seeing the reinstatement of the Iraqi dinar and thus revaluation, if will be under the Trump administration.   [Post 2 of 2]

Samson – Dinar Guru   Article: “US SENATOR : IRAQ HAS MADE REMARKABLE PROGRESS IN DEVELOPMENT PATHS“

Pimpy – Dinar Guru   Once the prime minister has been selected, then they got to form the government.  Once they form the government, then everything is on track.  The last time…it took them over a year just to get a prime minister…This election was last November…3 months now since the election and they have not picked a president, nor have they picked the prime minister yet…What I’m thinking is they haven’t selected a president yet is because they’re not ready to figure out who is going to be the prime minister.  Once you select a president you have to hurry up and select the prime minister.  Right now they’re stalling…I’m waiting for them to make a move.

Militia Man – Dinar Guru  Iraq enters 2026 with political clarity, strong reserves, low inflation and digital readiness, coordinated reforms and trade banking, private sector, digital systems combined with gatekeeper support positions [Iraq] for sustained growth and full participation in the global financial system…So execution phase is underway.  I think the trajectory is clear…They fired the shot.

Mountain Goat – Dinar Guru  “IRAQ’S MALIKI STANDOFF: THREE EXITS, NO EASY WAY OUT”   A Framework official told Alhurra that three scenarios are now under discussion to end the deadlock… I believe none of these scenarios will work and are just conversation and not real solutions… There is in FACT only one solution and that is to give al-Sudani yet another term. I believe that in the end he will be nominated and appointed for yet another term.

Militia Man – Dinar Guru  The preparation phase for the real effective exchange rate…I think it’s complete.  The execution of that process is obviously underway.  I don’t think anything I’m talking about is speculation…Bit by bit…they’re bringing confidence to people…We’re coming towards the end.