Dinar Observer Daily

Mountain Goat – Dinar Guru  Here we sit waiting for over four months for the new Iraqi government to be formed.  We have to realize it is NOT a matter of just forming ‘a new government’ but ‘the right government’ that can work with president Trump and his plan to revitalize Iraq…Trump’s plan for Iraq is nothing new and only a continuance of the original U.S. foreign policy for Iraq. The plan was destroyed under the eight years of the Obama and Biden years. This foreign policy for Iraq does not include Iraq as an Iranian proxy state controlled by Iran and that has been the difficulty all along in getting the reinstatement of the Iraq dinar… 

Reset Intelligence – Dinar Guru  The most anticipated moment we are watching…Iraq Parliament votes on a president Saturday. That starts the constitutional clock on the budget, the HCL, and the rate..

Kaperoni – Dinar Guru  Article: “Experts: The Hormuz crisis is a wake-up call for restructuring the Iraqi economy.“

Sandy Ingram – Dinar Guru   Iraq is saying it will open its airspace.  

Jeff – Dinar Guru   They have adjourned their current session of parliament until Saturday which is the point now where they’re claiming they’re going to vote on the president of the republic...We’ve got to see what happens.  At least things are moving forward in the right direction and getting done.  That’s very important for us to see…We have to see, do they finish the president?  What do they do with the prime minister?  Do they announce who the new nominated prime minister is?  Do they vote to extend Sudani’s term…?  If they finish the government it makes them eligible to revalue…We’re in the critical step in this…

Steve – Dinar Guru  One of my close friends is an actual billionaire.  If I told you his name, you would know exactly who he was.  He was telling me one day, you know people think of a million dollars as a lot of money.  But the truth is when he thinks of a million dollars he looks at it in terms of being worth $50,000 per year. He said, ‘When I invest a million dollars, I plan on having $50,000 come back to me from that $1 million investment assuming a 5% very conservative rate of return.’  It’s very important for you to start planning this out now…really thinking in terms of how much money would I need in the bank, assuming…4% to 5% return, in order to support my lifestyle to where I no longer have to work…My goal is to never have to worry about money again…Take your time…really thinking through this. If the Iraqi dinar revalued tomorrow morning… think about how much money you would need to live the life you want…

Reset Intelligence – Dinar Guru   The ceasefire didn’t just stop bombs. It opened the Strait of Hormuz. Iraq’s oil chief said they can restore full exports within a week. Not months. A week. March revenue was $1.9 billion. February was $6.8 billion. That math is about to flip back. And the presidential vote is Saturday. You feel it too, right?

BGG – Dinar Guru  I found it VERY interesting #11 on the list of 15 U.S. demands for Iran to end this war is that Iran (IRGC) cut off funding of armed Shia PMU (Paramilitary Unit) groups in Iraq. In plain language: “Quit influencing things in Iraq“.  It is curious to me the U.S. is aware of this influence & understands it to be important enough to be one of the critical terms for our “disengagement”.

Mountain Goat – Dinar Guru  …the Iraqi parliament fully intends to hold the session on April 11th and to elect the new president. This will of course lead to the next step in the process of forming the government, electing the prime minister…This should end the election deadlock however remember there is also the prime minister controversy that lingers… Iraq has been very quiet on this issue lately…Have they already chosen someone? Is it going to be al-Sudani after all?  We wait to find out.

Steve – Dinar Guru  Look at all the things happening in the background of Iraq – restructuring their banking sectors, getting everything up and running in order to support a higher exchange rate.  It makes zero logical sense that Iraq, the 8th wealthiest country in the world, is using a program rate of 1310 to the US dollar. I truly believe there has been a plan all along to increase that rate.  For those of us who hold those dinar notes, we are going to  share in the opportunity for that rate increase.

Reset Intelligence – Dinar Guru  Iraq is not just another resource-rich country. It is the oldest continuously significant territory on earth. Baghdad was the intellectual capital of the world for five hundred years. Algebra was invented there. The first cities in human history were built in what is now southern Iraq. $16 trillion in natural resources. 145 billion barrels of proven oil. $40.8 billion in US Treasury bonds accumulated in twelve months. Foreign reserves past $115 billion. Gold reserves past $21 billion. And a currency still priced at a rate set by an occupying army in 2003.

Jeff – Dinar Guru  They could do the Prime Minister the same day they do the President which is tentatively next Saturday April 11th.

Clare – Dinar Guru  Article:  “A government advisor predicts per capita income growth of $1,320 per month over the next four years”   Quote: “Saleh, confirmed on Tuesday that regional competition requires a stable investment environment and major strategic projects, while he indicated that growth expectations until 2030 amount to 3.6% and per capita share is about $15,850 annually, while he clarified that the level of monthly per capita income will be $1,320 per month.“

Samson – Dinar Guru   Article:  “AT $1,320 PER MONTH GOVERNMENT CONSULTANTS PREDICT THE CAPITA INCOME GROWTH LEVEL WITHIN FOUR YEARS“

Militia Man – Dinar Guru  There’s a full picture in this.  The testing has happened and the optionality exists.  The CBI does have that…When the CBI decides prudent conditions are met is still the open variable.  The official stance right now is stability within the current framework…Adjustments can happen immediately.  We have evidence of that.  It’s already in writing.  It’s in public.   They’ve done it before, ‘effective immediately’ when they decide it’s prudent to do so…

Steve -Dinar Guru  Things from a PR perspective are not looking very good for Donald Trump…If the Republicans lose the midterms in November, there’s a high probability they’re going to try to impeach Donald Trump…Either Trump knows something we don’t know or everything we’re seeing is really what meets the eye.  I tend to believe Donald Trump is a lot smarter than people give him credit for…I have a hard time believing he didn’t know what was going to happen with this Iran war…I’m actually more optimistic right now than I ever have been before.  The war with Iran is putting immense pressure on the country of Iraq…It’s expelling a lot of the Iranian influence…that held them back….We’re seeing…Trump directly installing US delegation into Iraq…The USA is getting directly involved…which is what we all want to see especially those of us who have a vested interest in the Iraqi dinar revaluation...I was always of the belief Iran had to be dealt with…in order for Iraq to be able to rise up…I think we’re right on the cusp of that. 

Reset Intelligence – Dinar Guru  Inside Iraq: street rate hit 1,553 this week. Revenue collapsed 70% in one month.  299 tanker lorries crossed into Syria carrying crude to the Mediterranean. Two new export routes activated in under 30 days. Presidential vote is…days away.

Mountain Goat – Dinar Guru   The RV saga continues with the election cycle. We are now hearing of a parliamentary session scheduled for April 11th. The Coordination Framework must have a candidate now acceptable to Kurdistan or else they would not be exposing their candidate for presidency thus then moving on to the prime minister next.  Will Al-Sudani have a second term?

Clare – Dinar Guru   Article:  “The dollar is out of state control: Who runs the parallel market in Iraq?”  Quote: “This reveals that the dollar crisis in Iraq is, at its core, a crisis of control, trust, and structure, not merely a reserve crisis. The state still possesses money, but it does not fully control its flow within the economy. Banks still exist, but they have not yet transformed into a reliable and credible channel for society and commerce. The parallel market remains ‘unofficial,’ but it effectively performs a formal function in pricing and providing rapid access to foreign currency. Therefore, the question of who controls the parallel market in Iraq cannot be answered by a single name or entity.“

Steve – Dinar Guru  I’m personally looking at April as a very very big month for possible things to happen.  I believe the dinar can very likely revalue in the month of April…As much as I want the revaluation to happen tomorrow, I’m also trying to figure out the pieces and what’s happening behind the scenes with the country of Iraq.

Reset Intelligence – Dina Guru  April 11 is the vote. The speaker confirmed it on camera. The Coordination Framework said no postponement. That vote unlocks the president. The president unlocks the prime minister. The PM unlocks borrowing authority, the budget, and the HCL.

Kaperoni – Dinar Guru  Article: “Iraq will be the fifth largest Arab economy in 2026, with expectations of continued growth until 2030.“

Militia Man – Dinar Guru   They’ve been working on this for three plus years.  What they’ve done is set the stage.  They are supporting the fact that whenever they do a real effective exchange rate adjustment they can do it ‘effectively immediately’.  Those are some of the words from Alaq.  They did it in 1460 to 1310…A real effective exchange rate can be managed when it’s fully prudent to do so because of all the things they’ve done…They have a system in place to do so…

Sandy Ingram – Dinar Guru   Iraqis are protesting.  This can never be good.  There are thousands of them protesting the war and the fact that Iraq is in the middle of a conflict they did not ask for.  Perhaps the Iraqi’s are feeling helpless.

Clare – Dinar Guru  Article: “Salih: The informal economy hides 67% of the market in Iraq”   Quote:  “the informal economy in Baghdad and the rest of Iraq’s cities represents a source of livelihood for millions of citizens, but at the same time it hides 67% of the market economy, deprives the state of important resources…the adoption of electronic payment through digital payment applications, with its current resurgence, can enhance transparency and facilitate the integration of this sector into the regulated market economy.“

Steve – Dinar Guru  Right now there is a gap of roughly 20% between the actual exchange rate of the Iraqi dinar and what the people are paying for it on the street.  The official exchange rate according to the CBI is about 1310 dinars to $1.  On the secondary market the dinar is trading about 1545 dinars to the US dollar…The last time that happened…the central bank was forced to intervenes and change the rate.  I’m not saying this signals a revaluation tomorrow or this month or anytime soon.  But what this is telling us is Iraq is being forced to make some monetary changes in the near future.

Mountain Goat – Dinar Guru  Article:  “TRUMP: WE WILL LEAVE IRAN WITHIN WEEKS AND A NEW REGIME IS NOW IN POWER IN TEHRAN”  Article quote: US President Donald Trump confirmed on Wednesday (April 1, 2026) that US forces will leave Iranian territory within a period of two to three weeks, stressing that Washington is now dealing – as he put it – with “more moderate and rational Iranian leaders.”…Trump said that “a complete regime change has taken place in Iran, and the current US administration is negotiating with a new, more rational group,” noting that “Iran’s departure will directly impact lower energy prices.”

Jeff – Dinar Guru   The number one thing we’re looking to see…April 11th that they hold a parliament session and put the president to vote.  That’s what we want to see happen…Let’s say they complete the president.  That’s one critical step.  The next would be the prime minister.  They could… extend Sudani’s and his cabinet’s political term.  Completing the entire government Saturday.  That is huge if they do that…You have no idea how significant that is…They’re stating April 11th there is no intention to delay to postpone the president under any circumstances.  They’re also stating Maliki is most likely out and Sudani is in..

Samson – Dinar Guru   Article:  “IRAQ THANKS IRAN FOR ALLOWING ALL TANKERS TO PASS THROUGH HORMUZ”  Quote:  “Iraq is one of the most affected by the closure of the strait, as its oil production fell from about 3.5 million barrels per day to about 1.3 million barrels per day, while exports fell to about 800,000 barrels per day due to the disruption of shipping traffic through the strait“

Militia Man – Dinar Guru  The Port of Ceyhan route is highly important right now and the current Hormuz pressure is accelerating recognition of its value because of Hormuz.  Iraq is benefiting from it.  This doesn’t mean an immediate transformation move on the dinar REER.  It doesn’t mean it’s going to happen today…But it materially strengthens the fundamentals  towards export resilience, non-oil revenue potential and prudent management credentials.  Iraq is showing the deeper global financial integration is still moving forward.  I like it.  It’s stead.  It’s uplifting data to consider.